Monday, May 28, 2018

Decoration Day

This year we celebrate one hundred fifty years of what was once called Decoration Day and now called Memorial Day.


MOST Americans know that Memorial Day is about honoring the nation’s war dead. It is also a holiday devoted to department store sales, half-marathons, picnics, baseball and auto racing. But where did it begin, who created it, and why?

At the end of the Civil War, Americans faced a formidable challenge: how to memorialize 625,000 dead soldiers, Northern and Southern. As Walt Whitman mused, it was “the dead, the dead, the dead — our dead — or South or North, ours all” that preoccupied the country. After all, if the same number of Americans per capita had died in Vietnam as died in the Civil War, four million names would be on the Vietnam Veterans Memorial, instead of 58,000.

Officially, in the North, Memorial Day emerged in 1868 when the Grand Army of the Republic, the Union veterans’ organization, called on communities to conduct grave-decorating ceremonies. On May 30, funereal events attracted thousands of people at hundreds of cemeteries in countless towns, cities and mere crossroads. By the 1870s, one could not live in an American town, North or South, and be unaware of the spring ritual.

But the practice of decorating graves — which gave rise to an alternative name, Decoration Day — didn’t start with the 1868 events, nor was it an exclusively Northern practice. In 1866 the Ladies’ Memorial Association of Columbus, Ga., chose April 26, the anniversary of Gen. Joseph Johnston’s final surrender to Gen. William T. Sherman, to commemorate fallen Confederate soldiers. Later, both May 10, the anniversary of Gen. Stonewall Jackson’s death, and June 3, the birthday of Jefferson Davis, were designated Confederate Memorial Day in different states.

Memorial Days were initially occasions of sacred bereavement, and from the war’s end to the early 20th century they helped forge national reconciliation around soldierly sacrifice, regardless of cause. In North and South, orators and participants frequently called Memorial Day an “American All Saints Day,” likening it to the European Catholic tradition of whole towns marching to churchyards to honor dead loved ones.

In a grand ceremony on Nov. 11, 1920, an unknown French soldier from World War I was buried beneath the Arc de Triomphe. That same day, the British entombed their own unknown soldier with similar honors in Westminster Abbey.

Other European nations followed, but the United States, having lost 116,516 men in 19 months of fighting—and with more than 2,000 unidentified Americans still buried in France—had no plans for the same.

It was not until the next month that Hamilton Fish, a New York congressman who had served in combat on the Western Front, introduced a bill providing for the repatriation of “a body of an unknown American killed on the battlefields of France, and for burial of the remains with appropriate ceremonies.” Congress passed Fish’s Public Resolution 67, and on his last day in office President Woodrow Wilson signed it.

Sgt. Edward Younger, who on the morning of Oct. 24, 1921, in the town hall of Châlons-sur-Marne, France, was given the honor of selecting the Unknown Soldier from four caskets of unidentified remains recently exhumed from American cemeteries in France. “I had gone over the top many times, had known the agony of waiting for the charge,” the twice-wounded combat veteran later recounted. But he felt almost “paralyzed” as he selected the remains by placing white roses on one flag-draped casket.

The body chosen by Sgt. Younger was buried with full military honors in Arlington National Cemetery on Armistice Day 1921. After the ceremony, Gen. James Harbord, who had commanded thousands of American soldiers and Marines in combat, remarked: “Whether an anonymous hero who died, we know not how, is more fitting for commemoration than those whose names we have and whose gallant deaths we can describe, may be a question.”

6,940 - Today is the 17th Memorial Day since 9/11. Since then, 6,940 U.S. military service members have died for America.

Every part of the country has lost soldiers to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Average age: 26½.

Some counties in the Mountain West also have very high death rates, but that's a function of very small populations that skew the data.

Several parishes in southern Louisiana have suffered a disproportionate number of soldiers lost. Of the five places with the most military deaths per population, three — Tangipahoa Parish, East Baton Rouge Parish, and Calcasieu Parish — are in Louisiana. (The others are Mineral County, Colo, and Garfield County, Mont.)

Many of the dead came from big cities, including 167 from Los Angeles County, the most of any county.

Of all U.S. counties, remote Mineral County, Colo., had the highest rate of service members killed in proportion to population — one. The Rocky Mountain county was home to Sgt. Clinton Wayne Ahlquist, who was killed in Ramadi, Iraq, on Feb. 20, 2007, at age 23.

The state with the highest rate of service members killed was Vermont — the state lost 26 troops out of a population of about 624,000. The state with the lowest rate was nearby Connecticut.

Most of the fallen — 5,019 men and women — served in the Army. 1,484 were in the Marines, 248 were in the Navy, and 189 were in the Air Force.

98% of the fallen were men: 6,772, with 168 women.

You all are not forgotten.

POTUS WEEK - Monday: Trump will go to Arlington National Cemetery for a wreath-laying ceremony and a Memorial Day event. Tuesday: The president will eat lunch with VP Mike Pence and HUD Secretary Ben Carson. He also plans to meet with HHS Secretary Alex Azar and NIH Director Francis Collins. He then will travel to Nashville....

... Wednesday: Trump will meet with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and he'll participate in a White House Sports and Fitness Day event. Thursday: Trump will go to Houston and Dallas. Friday: Trump will meet with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.

Day 494 of President Trump (966 days left in this term):

CHINA 101 - Two decades ago, China's gross exports were on par with the Netherlands. Only North Korea relied on the world's most populous country as its primary source of imports.

Now, China exports far more than any country on earth, and is the top supplier of countries in every corner of the world.

Relative global power is a zero-sum game. Even though the U.S. is growing alongside China, the younger power's newfound influence will impact the U.S. role on the international stage.

China's Artificial Intelligence (AI) plan is part of the Chinese government's blueprint for becoming a superpower and achieving "the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation," while maintaining Communist Party control.

Kai-Fu Lee, founder of Sinovation Ventures and a world-renowned AI researcher, and Paul Triolo, head of Eurasia Group's Geo-technology practice, argue that China and the U.S. are already in a global AI duopoly.

In January, Amazon attracted intense attention when it opened Go, its cashless convenience store in Seattle. But that still leaves the e-commerce giant far behind its Chinese rivals, which are already staking out new ground in retail.

The future of retail in the world's leading economies is increasingly expected to be not online shopping, but a melding of e-commerce and physical stores. Chinese Big Tech appears to be in the vanguard of how to pull this off.

Chinese internet giants led by Alibaba are becoming online-offline behemoths, investing in or acquiring some 30 physical retailers in the nation since the fall.

It would be like Amazon buying a stake in every major offline retailer in the U.S.

BIRTHDAYS THIS WEEK – Birthday wishes and thoughts this week to Greg Ball ….famous amateur golfer; Reggie Jackson (72) Scottsdale, AZ.; Ron Reagan (60) San Diego, CA.; George Strait (66) Garland, TX; David Yoshida …still my RA.

COLLEGE CHRONICLES – Congratulations to Rink Rat reader Dr. Gail Tang, Assistant Professor of Mathematics, for being selected to the Fulbright Scholar Program. The program will aid Dr. Tang in her studies in Burma next Spring 2019.

SMARTPHONE THE NEW DESKTOP COMPUTER?  - What’s the difference between your phone and a computer? Seriously, look at your phone, and at your laptop. What separates them? You’re probably thinking about power, memory and all the Serious Stuff phones can’t do.

For years, that was right. Phones were painfully slow next to desktops and laptops. Now, though, the iPhone’s processor bests the MacBook’s in many benchmarking tests.

Most recent handsets can handle video editing and intense games, plus Word and Excel. A few even have docks or software that adapts to the big screen to serve up an experience virtually identical to a traditional PC.

The phone has unique advantages, too: It’s likely the device you use most and carry with you always. It can access your most important files and personal data. You understand the interface. In many ways, your phone might be a better computer than your computer. If you’re going to pay as much as $1,000 for it, it better be.

Using a phone as your primary computer isn’t always easy: Apple ’s iOS and Google’s Android software weren’t designed with desktop multitasking in mind. The idea works, though.

Over the years, lots of companies have devised ways to bridge the gap between phone and PC. In 2011, there was Motorola’s Lapdock, an otherwise-useless clamshell powered by its Atrix 4G phone. Asus built an elaborate system where you’d dock your phone into a tablet like an X-Wing entering a space frigate. Most recently, Razer ’s Project Linda advances the idea that a phone could slot into a laptop’s palmrest to double as a trackpad. Apple patented a similar idea in 2017.

For now, it’s best to go a simpler route, with a Bluetooth keyboard and a display connection. I’ve come to like Logitech ’s Keys-To-Go ($70 at Apple.com, bundled with an iPhone stand). It’s light and durable enough to stay in my bag all the time.

To connect an iPhone to a display, you’ll need an HDMI cable, which works with nearly any modern television or monitor, plus Apple’s $50 Lightning Digital AV Adapter. Many Android phones will work with a single USB-to-HDMI cable. (You can use an Apple TV or Chromecast to connect wirelessly to a big screen, but it’s a bit more hassle.)

These accessories have completely changed the way I think about my phone. Not everyone believes in this one-computer-to-rule-them-all future. Every device could be equally smart as processors and memory chips become less expensive and more plentiful, bandwidth gets faster and less costly, and more data and computing move into the cloud.

Microsoft, Apple and Google all have services that let you carry activity from one device to another. But to build a truly cross-platform computing system, they’d all have to put down their swords and work together. I’m not holding my breath.

I like the idea of having one device that contains my whole computing life. I could focus my money on one great machine. That device would have all my settings and data, kept in apps I know how to use. It would also feel safer to me, not to be logged in on a bunch of machines. My phone is probably harder to steal than my Google password. I’d just be in big trouble if I lost it.

MARKET WEEK – Netflix has become as valuable as Walt Disney and Comcast, the latest sign that investors remain faithful to the handful of technology and internet firms that have long powered the broader market.

The streaming company on Friday closed with a market value of $151.8 billion, after earlier in the session passing Disney for the first time a day after it eclipsed Comcast. Disney is valued at $151.2 billion and Comcast $145.5 billion. The milestone for Netflix highlights investors’ interest in shares of rapidly growing firms they think will disrupt industries, a trend also seen with Amazon.com and the retail sector.

Worries about the high concentration of gains—namely in the popular FAANG stocks of Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google parent Alphabet—have continued, with some analysts hoping for returns to be spread more evenly as the nine-year old bull market matures. Some are encouraged by the recent surge in small-cap stocks, but for the most part, the S&P 500’s leaders remain the same.

“It’s just evidence of way too much popularity in concentrated bets being made by the masses, which historically has always been an indication of risk,” said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Leuthold Group.

Netflix has a price-to-earnings ratio of roughly 97 based on projections for profits in the next 12 months, according to FactSet, compared with 14 for Disney and 12 for Comcast. The S&P 500 trades at a multiple of 16.

Netflix shares have added 7.8% this week after the firm signed former U.S. President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama to a multiyear deal to produce content. The stock is now up 82% in 2018, making it by far the best performer in the S&P 500. The next best performer, XL Group, has added 58%.

Meanwhile, shares of Disney and Comcast have fallen this week with Comcast escalating its threat to disrupt Disney’s megadeal to buy the bulk of 21st Century Fox’s entertainment assets.

Despite worries about higher regulation and lofty valuations, the market’s favorite names have recovered from a recent period of turbulence. Even with Facebook dealing with fake-news and privacy scandals, shares have added 16% in the past month. Apple is up 15% and Amazon has climbed 9.8%.

CAREER SERVICES - Most companies that pay six figures to the majority of their workers aren’t finance jobs in big banks or money managers, but biotech firms that rely on medical
researchers, and energy and technology companies with a large number of engineers and technical staff.

More than 100 companies in the S&P 500 routinely awarded employees $100,000 or more in 2017, according to filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Nearly half of those were in the energy industry, including oil and gas drillers, refiners and electric utilities. Together, the energy companies employ more than 600,000 people, according to an analysis by The Wall Street Journal of federal filings and company-employment data from S&P Global Market Intelligence Capital IQ.

Public companies in the U.S. are offering a first-ever glimpse into how they compensate rank-and-file employees, thanks to disclosure requirements under the federal Dodd-Frank Act of 2010 that took effect this year. The disclosures show total compensation for the median employee at each company; until this spring companies were only required to detail the millions that top executives often take home in bonuses and stock.

The data reveal the types of firms where lucrative jobs are the norm rather than the exception. Some of the highest reported median wages were paid by pharmaceutical companies. Four firms in the S&P 500 paid workers in the middle of their payrolls more than $200,000. Facebook Inc. was one of them; the other three are developing drugs to fight everything from cancer to psoriasis. At Incyte Corp. , Celgene Corp. and Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc., the middle earners last year made $253,000, $213,000 and $211,500, respectively.

One financial firm ranked in the top 25 for highest median earnings: At boutique asset manager Affiliated Managers Group Inc. last year, the typical pay package was $157,384. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. came in 46th, with $135,165, the midpoint among roughly 34,000 employees at the bank.

Several big tech and oil companies disclosed larger median pay packages. Exxon Mobil Corp. ranked 20th, with its typical worker earning $161,562. Salesforce.com Inc. ranked 28th, with a median pay of $155,284.

Ten of the 25 highest median salaries last year were found at companies based in the Midwest or South, where $150,000 stretches farther than it would in many cities on the coasts.

The average overall compensation figure for the roughly 400 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported median pay so far is $78,830. The median for all U.S. workers was just under $38,000 last year, according to data from the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics.

ON THIS DATE - Marks Sixty Five years since the first public television station began broadcasting — KUHT, right from the campus of the University of Houston.

WHAT’S ON THE iPHONE? – five songs we are listening to this holiday weekend:

1). “El Paso”, 1959 – Marty Robbins
2). “Somebody’s Been Sleeping In My Bed”, 1970 – 100 Proof Aged In Soul
3). “Just One Of Those Things”, 1969 – Frank Sinatra
4). “Question”, 1970 – Moody Blues
5). “Peer Gynt Suite #1 Opera 46”, 1867 – Edvard Grieg

SWAMI’S WEEK TOP PICKS

MLB Game of the Week – Saturday June 2; Boston Red Sox (36-17) vs. Houston Astros (34-20), Major League Baseball’s top teams, Astros win 6 – 5.

STANLEY CUP FINALS – Though The Swami picked Nashville and Pittsburgh to be in the Stanley Cup Final, we now select the Washington Capitals to win in five games over the Vegas Golden Knights (too much like Clarkson).

NBA FINALS – We are sticking to our original picks of Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors Final. With The Warriors winning in six games.

Season to Date (15 - 9)

DRIVING THE WEEK – With the scandals of management at Michigan State, University of Southern California, and other higher education institutions, this should be an interesting week as finally the attention is being paid to inactive Boards of Trustees who during their watch have done nothing to monitor or correct poor management.

Next Blog: I have a problem and Summer Reading.

Until next time, Adios

Claremont, California
May 28, 2018
#VIII-28-370

CARTOON OF THE WEEK – The New Yorker


Monday, May 7, 2018

Green Thoughts


It is that time of year to finally shed the winter/spring doldrums of inconsistent weather and spend time in the garden. Be it a garden on the patio or a garden in a twenty by twenty-foot patch in the back yard. There is a lot to be said about the calming, relaxation of spending an hour or two working outside in the soil and weeds of a new garden.

I plant tomatoes every year, no big deal, but just those two or three plants bring a proper perspective to the stress of every day life. How much food, enough water, the proper light, all are decisions I welcome this time of year in the garden.

Gardening has long been a national passion in England and its traditions have influenced those in other countries, including America, Canada, France and even Russia. The design and study in designing a garden can be the best thing you do this time of year.

Chauncey Gardiner, the famous Peter Sellers character, in the 1979 film “Being There” explains; “… growth has its seasons.” And, yes, “there will be growth in the spring.” He explains further; “As long as the roots are not severed, all is well. And all will be well in the garden.”

You can learn plenty about dealing with life by being a gardener.

WORKPLACE - Congress: The most family-unfriendly workplace in America: The only institution constitutionally created to reflect our national values - Congress - is arguably the least family friendly institution in the country. The same people who set policy for millions of families in America serve in a job that literally splits families apart. If Congress had more family friendly rules, more women would run for office. And if more women were elected, our laws would be more conducive to the basic struggles most families face - housing, education, health and transportation.

Millennials vs. Boomers - Beset by big college loans, inherited wars and an uncertain work future, a majority of millennials say baby boomers made things worse for them — and a lot of boomers agree, according to a new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll.

Why it matters, if it persists, the generational divide could turn into political rivalry as the generations compete for limited tax dollars — millennials seeking government help as automation takes hold, and boomers insisting on promised levels of Social Security and Medicare.

The findings: 51% of millennials (18- to 34-year-olds) blame boomers (51- to 69-year-olds) for making things worse for their generation. Just 13% said boomers had improved things.

Boomers were split on the issue: 30% said policies created by their generation had made things worse, 32% said they had made things better, and 34% that they had done neither.

Days until the 2018 election: 183

CICLAVIA 2018 - People came by the thousands to enjoy the warm spring weather while bike riding with friends to celebrate the Ciclavia Earth Day on Sunday April 22. It was a fun event, with pit stops along the way in Claremont, Pomona, La Verne and San Dimas. With streets devoid of cars along the 6.5-mile route, bikers were in no hurry for the ride...or the day...to end. With hundreds of booths along the way, the festive atmosphere had something for kids of all ages.

Enjoy this video: https://youtu.be/mHA6eqPkZz8

CORD CUTTING - More customers are dropping cable TV as they turn toward streaming services like Netflix Inc., a fundamental shift in consumer behavior that was on display this week in painful earnings reports from cable and telecommunications companies.

As viewers flee traditional TV for streaming-video services, Netflix has arguably been the biggest winner, adding subscribers at home and abroad at a clip that has outpaced Wall Street’s expectations.

Other tech companies are also angling to capitalize on consumers’ changing habits. Amazon.com Inc. now has more than 100 million customers for its Prime subscription service, which includes a video offering the company has been pouring money into, including a deal on Thursday to keep streaming NFL games.

Google Inc. is ramping up its YouTube TV streaming service, an online bundle of cable channels that competes with the likes of Hulu Live and Sony PlayStation Vue.

And Facebook Inc. and Apple Inc. have each set aside as much as $1 billion for original programming meant to lure more viewers away from traditional TV.

Amazing stat: The upheaval in the pay-TV economy is stark. From the beginning of 2015 through the end of last year, nine million Americans have either cut the cord or chosen not to buy a traditional cable package when moving into new households.

KA-CHING, KA-CHING - CROSSING OVER: That new 21 percent corporate tax rate might have just landed its biggest fish so far.

The private equity power KKR announced Thursday that its board had unanimously voted to switch to corporate status in July after years as a partnership, in what Reuters called "the biggest shake-up" in the company's structure since it went public a dozen years ago. Ares Management, another private equity firm, also announced it was becoming a corporation a couple months back, though it has about a third of the market capitalization of KKR.

KKR's decision could start to answer one of the big questions set up by last year's GOP tax cut: Would more businesses become traditional C-corporations after the tax rate for those companies was slashed from 35 percent? Swarms of businesses - both small companies and titans like KKR and other big private equity firms - had increasingly been organizing as pass-throughs in the decades leading up to the new tax law, in no small part because organizing that way allows them to pay a single layer of tax. (Corporations absorb a second layer after paying out dividends to shareholders.)

KKR officials said the new setup was "designed to broaden our investor base , simplify our structure and make it easier to invest in our shares. We believe this change, together with continued strong performance, will increase our ability to generate significant long-term equity value for all of our shareholders." The firm's competitors will surely be interested in whether that's the case, but it remains to be seen whether other large pass-throughs will follow KKR's lead. The company's change "will provide a serious test case for peers Apollo Global Management LLC (APO.N), Carlyle Group LP (CG.O) and Blackstone Group LP (BX.N) as to whether the higher tax burden is offset by the market attributing a higher valuation to the stock," Reuters noted.

MICHIGAN STATE'S BOND RATING TAKES A HIT: Moody's Investors Service downgraded the university's bond rating - a move that could make it more expensive for the scandal-plagued school to borrow money it will likely need for settlement costs with 300 of Larry Nassar's victims, the Detroit Free Press reports . That could run costs into the hundreds of millions of dollars, according to the report. The ratings agency cited the unknown costs of the settlement, as well as ongoing uncertainty about senior leadership of the school, along with several investigations into the school by state and national agencies, including the Education Department.

SHARK TANK - Berkshire Hathaway bought 75 million shares in Apple — “an unbelievable company,” in Warren Buffett’s estimation — in the first quarter.

RICH GET RICHER - The largest U.S. companies found a new formula for success in the first quarter: larger pretax profits and smaller tax bills—mostly compliments of the cut in the corporate tax rate to 21% from 35%. More than half of the combined net income reported by 200 large public companies in the first quarter stemmed from a decline in their effective tax rates, a Journal analysis of quarterly financial data from Calcbench found. Through Wednesday, first-quarter after-tax earnings for S&P 500 index companies were on track to come in 25% higher than a year earlier, according to Thomson Reuters. That would mark the seventh straight quarter of per-share profit growth and the strongest gains in more than seven years.

Dear Rink Rats:

Before I married my wife two years ago, she had huge amounts of debt to her name, including large amounts of student loans. After we married, we diligently almost paid everything off, helped by my salary being three times that of my wife.

She recently asked for a divorce, saying she was taking the house and my retirement. My question is: Does the fact we paid off her debts she held before get spread evenly? Had I not paid all of her debts our net worth would be near the same with a better outcome for me.

We’ve only been married a few years, and frankly I can’t help feeling taken advantage of. The only advice I can find discusses whose responsibility the student loans would be, but now it just seems that she got me to pay all of her debts, and got some new stuff, while I threw away years of my life.

Please tell me there’s hope.

Squeezed in Fort Worth

Dear Squeezed,

I’m sorry you feel squeezed or played. But I can’t argue with that. After two years, that’s a tough break, especially given all the help you gave your wife with her student debt. That’s a particularly unusual kind of debt, in that it’s virtually impossible to discharge. So if your wife was planning to wipe out some debts with your help before she filed for divorce two years after your marriage, that was the one to wipe out first.

The good news: Texas is a community property state so, where you have not co-mingled your assets, you take out of the marriage what you brought into it. Unfortunately, that doesn’t include the money you gave your wife to pay off her loans. But if you had a home before you married, for instance, you will walk away with that. Document all your financial transactions with your wife. The court has discretion to divide community property in a way it deems fair and reasonable.

Another development in your favor: In Texas, judges don’t instruct one party to pay the other alimony if they’ve been married for fewer than 10 years. There are exceptions to this rule — if there is a minor child involved, whether there’s been domestic abuse and/or whether the partner in question has a disability — but it’s unlikely that a judge will tell you to pay your wife alimony. So whatever result you do get, from a financial perspective you will be free and clear.

Typically, the court will divide retirement plans equally between the two soon-to-be former spouses. Given the short length of your marriage and the help you gave your wife paying off her student loans, you certainly have a good chance of fighting this particular rule. You may not be entirely successful, but a good divorce attorney will advise you on how to approach this delicate matter. Your wife is divorcing you, after all, and where there is flexibility in the law, there is opportunity.

What is key is the short period of marriage, the importance of choosing a good divorce lawyer, the perils of mediation (given that you have a relatively strong hand walking into divorce court) and a forensic accountant to examine your retirement accounts both before and during your marriage.

The best thing you have going for you right now is your honest intentions going into this marriage and your (good) behavior throughout. Having examined all the details, the judge may not be able to say the same thing about your wife. Also, if I were you get out of Texas, any state represented in the Senate by Rafael Edward “Ted” Cruz is a state you want to avoid.

Sincerely, Rink Rats

BIRTHDAYS THIS WEEK – Birthday wishes and thoughts this week to James Baker III (88) Houston, TX.; Tony Blair (65) London, England; George Clooney (57) Santa Barbara, CA.; Chris Krich ….famous student mentor; Robb Suffredini ….famous brother-in-law.

COLLEGE CHRONICLES - The disappearing Chinese student visa, there was a 17% drop in international students in the U.S. last year — mostly due to a 28% decline in Indian students and a 24% decline in Chinese students receiving visas.

Why it matters: The downturn, which can be partially attributed to President Trump's immigration policies, could have a notable economic effect. Foreign students contributed $36.9 billion to the U.S. economy during the 2016-2017 academic year, according to the NAFSA Association of International Educators.

COMMENCEMENT 2018 –

Date                           Commencement Speaker                          Institution

05/06/18                   HANNAH STORM,  ESPN Anchor                 The Univ. of Portland

05/11/18                   OPRAH WINFREY                                            USC Annenberg

05/12/18                   CHRISTINE LAGARDE, IMF                          Claremont McKenna

05/13/18                   TIM COOK,  Apple CEO                                  Duke University

05/20/18                   DAVID McCULLOUGH                                   Providence College

05/25/18                   PRESIDENT TRUMP                                      U.S. Naval Academy

06/02/18                   ART ACEVEDO, HOUSTON POLICE           Univ. of La Verne
                                      CHIEF

06/15/18                   CONGRESSMAN JOHN LEWIS                      California Institute of Tech.

MARKET WEEK – California has reclaimed its spot as the world's fifth-biggest economy, passing the U.K. and trailing only the U.S. as a whole, China, Japan and Germany.

All economic sectors except agriculture contributed to California's higher GDP, said Irena Asmundson, chief economist at the California Department of Finance.

Financial services and real estate led the pack at $26 billion in growth, followed by the information sector, which includes many technology companies, at $20 billion. Manufacturing was up $10 billion.

California's strong economic performance relative to other industrialized economies is driven by worker productivity, said [UCLA economics professor] Lee Ohanian... The United Kingdom has 25 million more people than California but now has a smaller GDP.

Why it matters: The data demonstrate the sheer immensity of California's economy, home to nearly 40 million people, a thriving technology sector in Silicon Valley, the world's entertainment capital in Hollywood and the nation's salad bowl in the Central Valley agricultural heartland. It also reflects a substantial turnaround since the Great Recession.

As the yield on the 10-year Treasury note touched 3 percent for the first time since 2014, companies warned that the earnings cycle might have peaked. While 3 percent is meaningful on the 10-year, rates are still very low and not about to choke off growth. And it's not like we haven't been here before with people worrying that the bond vigilantes were about to exact vengeance.

Expect the 10 year Treasury yield to continue to rise gradually and to eventually climb to about 4% by 2020. ... We believe US growth will remain resilient. However, rising rates will put pressure on refinancing costs for highly leveraged companies and households.

RENT - In 2017, about half of American renters paid more than 30 percent of their income on housing, and a quarter paid more than half.

OUT AND ABOUT – SPOTTED at the Southern California Intercollegiate Athletic Conference (SCIAC) Baseball and Softball Championships this weekend at the University of La Verne: DeAnne Bland, Roger Auerbach, Kevin Marshall, Brian Clocksin, Alexis Schifff, Jennifer Dubow (Executive Director SCIAC), Jonathan Reed.

JOHN MCCAIN - As Sen. John McCain battles brain cancer and the debilitating side effects of his aggressive treatment, he's "reckoning with his history and the future, as he and a stream of friends share memories and say what needs to be said:

McCain, 81, ... has been leading conference calls with his staff in a strained voice, grinding out three-hour physical therapy sessions and rewarding himself most days with a tall glass of Absolut Elyx on ice.

No one is saying goodbye, not explicitly. ... But his visitors are telling him they love him, how much he has meant to them — and together they are taking care of unfinished business.

McCain is using a new book and documentary to reveal his regret about not selecting former Senator Joseph I. Lieberman as his running mate in 2008.

His intimates have informed the White House that their current plan for his funeral is for Vice President Mike Pence to attend the service to be held in Washington’s National Cathedral but not President Trump.

Some of his associates, though not his family, have started to quietly put out word that they want a 'McCain person' eventually appointed to fill his Senate seat, a roster that includes his wife, Cindy.

SWAMI’S WEEK TOP PICKS

MLB Game of the Week – New York Mets (17-15) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (18-15), the winner is next in line to battle the Atlanta Braves, Phillies win 6 – 2.

Season to Date (14 - 9)

DRIVING THE WEEK - House expected to pass a Congressional Review Act (CRA) bill to cancel the CFPB's "Indirect Auto Lending Rule," per Axios' Jonathan Swan ... President Trump holds a roundtable with auto industry CEOs on Friday where he is likely to get an earful on the impact of steel and aluminum tariffs and what could happen to supply chains if NAFTA blows up ...

House Science subcommittee has a hearing on blockchain on Tuesday at 10:00 a.m. ... Brookings has an event Thursday at 10:30 a.m. on economic mobility ... Consumer Prices at 8:30 a.m. Thursday expected to rise 0.3 percent headline and 0.2 percent core ... Univ. of Mich. Consumer Sentiment at 10:00 a.m. Friday expected to dip to 98.0 from 98.8.

Next Blog: Confirm or Deny.

Until next time, Adios

Claremont, California
May 7, 2018
#VIII-27-369

CARTOON OF THE WEEK – The New Yorker