Saturday, October 3, 2020

Wake Up Call

 Weekend Edition

BUENOS DÍAS good Saturday morning.

Covid-19 is a wake-up call for the West, especially for its elite. This year could mark a reverse in history. Five hundred years ago, Europe was a bloody backwater while China was the most advanced country in the world, with the world’s most sophisticated civil service, selected by rigorous examination from across the whole country. The West overtook the East because its leaders mastered the art of government, producing a succession of powerful innovations—the nation-state, the liberal state, the welfare state—while the Chinese state ossified, its Mandarin elite unaware that it was even in competition with anyone else. By the 1960s, America was putting a man on the moon while millions of Chinese were dying of starvation.

Since the 1960s, however, this process has been reversed. Led by Singapore, Asia has been improving its state machinery while the West has ossified. Covid-19 shows just how far this change in the balance of competence has gone. Countries like South Korea, Singapore and even China have done far better at protecting their citizens than either the U.S. or Britain, where governments have conspicuously failed to work. Been to a Supreme Court nomination announcement lately?

But the biggest change that is needed is a change of mind-set. Unlike the dead aristocrats in the churchyards, the geeks who run Google and Facebook have no sense of guilt to give them pause and few ties of blood and soil to connect them to a particular patch of land. They believe that their fortunes are the product of nothing but their own innate genius. They owe the rest of us nothing.

This needs to change. Over the past decade both the Democratic Party and the Republican Party have been shaken by the forces of populism. The shaking will only get worse if the elites don’t play a more active role in politics. Since the Covid-19 outbreak, we have been reminded that good government can make the difference between life and death. Look at the two cities where the Western elite feel most at home: New York has lost more than 20,000 people, London 6,000 (at times the mortality rate was higher than the Blitz). By contrast, in Seoul, a bigger city with subways, nightclubs and everything else, only around 30 have died.

We live in a knowledge economy. For elites, exercising social responsibility should mean more than giving away money, though that is an admirable thing. It should mean sharing your brain—serving, not just giving. Michael Bloomberg did that as mayor of New York during the difficult decade after 9/11, and Bill Gates is the greatest philanthropist of his time not just because of the amount of money he has spent but because he devotes so much time to designing and driving his philanthropic work.

 

DEAR RINK RATS:

In response to the pandemic, the U.S. government gave employers the option to defer their employees’ Social Security contributions. I just got a notification from my employer that they will not be deferring my contributions, even though I could certainly use the extra money. Why did my employer choose not to defer my payroll tax?

Regards,

Paul A.

Badwater, California

 

DEAR PAUL,

Though deferring your Social Security contribution gives you extra income now, it is not free money. It’s more like a loan from the government, and at some point in the not too distant future, you will have to make up the payments you skip. The risk of payroll tax deferral is that employees will feel richer and increase their spending, leaving them unable to pay their taxes when they come due. For this reason, I think the program will leave most people worse off in the long term, so while your employer may be depriving you of a benefit now, it is actually helping you avoid financial hardship in the future.

Sincerely,

Rink Rats

 

JACK ASS OF THE MONTH – Plenty of candidates for this month, ranging from political, sports, entertainment, and higher education. Speaking of higher education, in May, John Jenkins, the president of Notre Dame wrote an op-ed in The New York Times titled, “We’re Reopening Notre Dame. It’s Worth the Risk.” In the piece, Jenkins also wrote about the challenges that athletics present in the wake of the pandemic but said that, “We believe we can, with aggressive testing, hygiene and careful monitoring, keep student-athletes safe.”

The president of Notre Dame has tested positive for Covid-19 nearly a week after he attended a White House event where he was spotted without a mask.

Fr. John Jenkins tested positive and is now isolated with mild symptoms, according to a message from the school sent to members of the Campus Community Friday afternoon. This comes nearly a week after Jenkins attended the announcement for the White House Supreme Court of the United States nominee Judge Amy Coney Barrett.

He was seen at the announcement shaking hands and not wearing a mask.

On Monday, Jenkins wrote a letter to his students titled "I regret my error of judgment in not wearing a mask," in which he apologized and said he would quarantine out of an abundance of caution in accordance with university protocols.

"I know many of you have read about the White House ceremony I recently attended. I write to express my regret for certain choices I made that day and for failing to lead as I should have," Jenkins said in the letter.

Fr. John Jenkins tested positive and is now isolated with mild symptoms, according to a message from the school sent to members of the Campus Community Friday afternoon.

"My symptoms are mild, and I will continue work from home," Jenkins said in the press release. "The positive test is a good reminder for me and perhaps for all of how vigilant we need to be.”

Americans have been living a grim reality for seven months -- a sheltered and lonely existence tainted by disease, layoffs and general malaise.

But the political class in Washington has been chugging along as if little has changed. Congress comes into session nearly every week without an institutional testing mandate -- thank the bipartisan leadership for that. President Trump holds mostly maskless rallies -- and, for good measure, this week his out-of-town event was matched with a Trump Victory watch party at the Trump Hotel on Pennsylvania Avenue, where lawmakers mingled with one another. And Congress and the administration have been unable to notch a Covid relief agreement for months.

Reality has suddenly intruded on the capital city.

We certainly wish Fr. Jenkins good health and recovery. But his irresponsible personal handling of COVID-19 is one of the main reasons the virus is still haunting America. As an example of our leader’s poor management of this virus Fr. Jenkins is this month’s JACK ASS.

 

BIRTHDAYS THIS WEEK – Birthday wishes and thoughts this week to Karen Ball ….famous sister, Jeff Bracken …famous southern California rancher, Devorah Lieberman … POTULV, Karla Suffredini …famous sister.

 

MARKET WEEK - The U.S. economy added 661,000 jobs last month, and the unemployment rate dipped to 7.9% from 8.4% in August.

The rate of the recovery in the labor market is slowing down. This was the first jobs report since April that showed net hiring below 1 million new jobs.

The slowdown is not exactly a surprise. Economists know the unemployment rate is a lot like your gym routine—easily knocked off track and sluggish to return to full strength. Take these stats, for example:

More than half of the jobs lost in March-April have now been recovered, but that means there are still 10.7 million fewer people with jobs than before the pandemic.

At the current rate, it would take 16 months to recoup all those jobs...but as we just mentioned, the hiring pace is slowing down.

This jobs report capped off a week in which big corporate names announced drastic reductions to their workforces:

Disney cut 28,000 workers at its slumping resorts.

United and American Airlines began to furlough 32,000 employees after stimulus discussions stalled.

Other blue-chip companies, including Allstate and Goldman Sachs, also announced layoffs.

These moves show that the coronavirus is still crimping growth nearly seven months after initial shutdowns. With most of the emergency aid from March spent by now, businesses will increasingly look to the government to ensure the recovery doesn’t completely stall out.


TOP THREE – Rock Bands of all time:

1). The Beatles

2). The Rolling Stones

3). Led Zeppelin

 

THE SWAMI’S WEEKEND PICKS –

NFL Football Pick of the Week – Sunday 10/4, 1:25 PM (PT), CBS: Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) vs. New England Patriots (2-1), Two words – Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs win 38 - 21 . (Season to Date 3-0)

College Football Pick of the Week – Saturday 10/3, 12:30 PM (PT), CBS: South Carolina Gamecocks vs. #3 Florida Gators, it has been awhile but the Gators are legit, 40 - 20. (Season to Date 2-1)

MLB Pick of the Week – Saturday 10/3, 5:07 PM (PT) TBS: Game one of the American League Division Series (Best of Five), New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays, we like the Yanks in this series (3-2) and in this game,  7 - 4. (Season to Date (3-1)

English Premier League Pick of the Week – Saturday 10/3, 9:30 AM (PT) NBCSN: Leeds United (2-0-1) v. Manchester City (1-0-1), Man City wins 3 - 2.  (Season to Date 1-2)

2020 Season to Date (21 - 15)

 

Next Blog: “Time”

Until Monday October 12, 2020 Adios.

Claremont, California

October 3, 2020

#XI-12-418

1,689 words, five-minute read

 

CARTOON OF THE WEEKEND – Cat Calendar

 


 

RINK RATS POLL – Mail or in-person vote this election?

___ Mail

___ In Person

___ I am not voting

 

QUOTE OF THE MONTH"Forget it’s five o’clock somewhere. It’s 2020 everywhere, drink when you want."Danica Patrick

 

Rink Rats is a blog of weekly observations, predictions and commentary. We welcome your comments and questions. Also participate in our monthly poll. Rink Rats is now viewed in Europe, Canada, South America and the United States.

Posted at Rink Rats The Blog: First Published – May 3, 2010

Our Eleventh Year.

www.rhasserinkrats.blogspot.com

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