Thursday, March 4, 2021

An Uneven Economic Recovery

 Weekend Edition

Welcome to March! Baseball is being played! COVID numbers are (for now) dropping. Hope is real.

Happy March, and happy Women's History Month! If your 2021 resolutions vanished faster than scented spray-on hand sanitizer from Trader Joe's, this first week of March could be a good chance to reset.

The uneven economic recovery in the U.S. is a cruel outcome of the pandemic and systematic inequality. Millions of Americans remain unemployed, and the systems we have in place to help have failed many of them. But if you squint, there is a silver lining for some: More Americans have been able to save money and pay off debt since lockdowns across the country have meant less travel, less entertainment and less dining out.

For those lucky enough to be in such a position, possibly even for the first time, the next question is: What should I do with it, especially once life has returned to “normal”?

“Money is just like math, in that there is a good way to proceed to get the answer right in the long term with your personal finances,” said Brian Preston, certified public accountant and host of the YouTube channel and podcast “The Money Guy Show.” “This is the best time in history for a person who just has a few thousand dollars lying around.”

The big secret to being good at money is that there is only a small handful of things you really need to know.

“Learn the fundamentals,” said Tiffany Aliche, a.k.a. “The Budgetnista,” and author of “Get Good with Money.” “In a world that’s obsessed with bitcoin, shorting and trading options, the financial fundamentals are often passed over.”

She added: “The fundamentals ensure that you have a soft place to land in challenging times and a strong place to build from in abundant times.”

Here are some ideas on getting that financial education started if you were fortunate to have socked away a little extra money, roughly in the order that works for most average Americans.

Create an emergency fund

First, fortify your finances to make sure you’re prepared for a disaster. Even before paying down high-interest credit card debt or chipping away at student loans, if you’ve been able to put away a little cash over the last year, your emergency fund should be your top priority, according to experts.

Tackle high-interest debt

This isn’t the most glamorous path, but it is the one that will offer by far the highest returns. After padding your emergency fund to a comfortable level — around six months of expenses, give or take — consider putting any extra money you were able to save toward debt with interest of around six percent or higher.

What to do if you still have a little left

If you’re in the position to have a little cash left over at this point, a lot of options open up.

The best explanation of how to handle money I’ve ever come across is this flowchart from the Personal Finance subreddit. In clear, unambiguous terms, it shows you what you should do with your money depending on where your finances are, and how to plan for the steps to come. It generally mirrors what a good book on the subject will tell you and what most advisers would recommend.

You may also be wondering, given all the recent coverage of “meme stocks” like GameStop and AMC, if you should invest in individual stocks. Time and time again, all the data show that investing is low-cost index funds is the surest path to financial independence. It is not the most exciting way to invest, but it is, in the long run, the most reliable. (That said, if you want to gamble a few bucks you’d be fine losing, have at it. Just never gamble more than you’re OK losing.)

 

WHAT’S ON MY iPHONE PLAYLIST THIS FIRST WEEKEND IN MARCH? -

1). “Our House”, 1970: Crosby, Still, & Nash

2). “China Grove”, 1973: The Doobie Brothers

3). “Rednecks White Socks and Blue Ribbon Beer”, 1973: Johnny Russell

4). “Grazing in the Grass”, 1968: Hugh Masekela

5). “Danny Boy”, 1945: Bing Crosby

 

TEX AND BALANCES – I am going to start with a pretty controversial statement: Wearing a mask is really not a big deal. I don't get why that comment is controversial, but it is. And now, with our race against Covid-19 at a key point of inflection, Texas is opening. Everything. "It is now time to open Texas 100%," Governor Abbott said to cheers and applause at a restaurant in Lubbock. "Everybody who wants to work should have that opportunity. Every business that wants to be open should be open." This is exactly the right message, but it is being delivered several weeks too soon. And when it comes to Covid-19, timing is everything. It is mind boggling that science has given us several effective vaccines in such a short time.  More mind boggling that some politicians are determined to punch that gift horse in the mouth.

We're so friggin close... U.S. will have enough COVID-19 vaccines For all adults by May.

Preliminary studies suggest that the variant that swept through the city of Manaus, Brazil is not only more contagious, but it also appears able to infect some people who have already recovered from other versions of the virus. And the variant has slipped Brazil's borders, showing up in two dozen other countries and in small numbers in the United States. And so it goes.

All three COVID vaccines authorized in the U.S. — Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech and Johnson & Johnson — have high rates of preventing hospitalization and death.

But there are key differences:

The most obvious is the dosing. J&J requires only one shot, although a second booster dose is being tested. Pfizer and Moderna’s vaccines require two doses, a few weeks apart.

The Pfizer and Moderna vaccines have been more effective than the J&J vaccine in clinical trials at preventing any symptomatic disease. Some experts quickly point out that the vaccines weren’t compared directly against one another, so the differences may be on paper only.

But on paper, those differences appear significant: The Pfizer and Moderna vaccines offer protection of more than 90%, while J&J’s efficacy against symptomatic disease is 66%.

Yours truly has vaccine number one this Friday March 5.

 

COVID-19 UPDATE - A 57-year-old Santa Clara woman died on February 6, 2020. We didn't know it at the time, but she was the country's first Covid-19 death. Since that day, we've lost more than 500,000 Americans to the pandemic.  So much of this carnage was avoidable. The Capitol insurrection was a visible crime. The COVID lies were a crime against humanity.

 

U.S. SCHOOLS - Most of the schools that went virtual-only after the winter COVID wave have returned to in-person education.

The U.S. is seeing an almost-universal return of schools that were in-person as of November.

Some districts that have been closed since March 2020 are also reopening.

Elementary schools in Ohio, New Mexico, Oregon, Washington, Tennessee, Virginia and Maryland started in-person classes this week.

With proper precautions, the CDC said it will be possible for schools to conduct some form of in-person learning even with various levels of community spread.

 

SPAC ATTACK - Let's talk smack about the pack with a knack for being in the black chasing after the latest SPAC like it was crack, ignoring those giving them flack for being off track with the latest financial hack. SPACs, or Special Purpose Acquisition Companies, are everywhere these days. On the most basic level, they offer a more simple way for companies to go public. Should we be worried that celebrities are getting in on the SPAC game? Anyone Who's Anyone Has a SPAC Right now. Sturgeon's law, coined by Theodore Sturgeon, a science-fiction writer, it holds that '90 percent of everything is crap.' A handful of SPACs performed really well over the last two years. That doesn't mean the Shaq SPAC will, too. 'What always happens with investors, no matter the asset class or the decade, somebody hits the lottery and everyone else piles in ... The SPAC enthusiasm is just investor behavior. People look at these as lottery tickets, and very often they're not." (I like to think of SPAC's as a great tool for people who need more action but don't understand bitcoin...)

In simpler times, famous-people-turned-entrepreneurs bought wineries or invested in car dealerships — or simply created multi-billion-dollar lifestyle companies on the strength of their family brand.

But in the pandemic economy, there’s a new way for the rich and recognized to flex their status and wealth: through a SPAC.  Jay-Z is involved with one. Shaquille O’Neal has one. Ciara Wilson (who?) sits on the board of one, as does Serena Williams.

 

MARCH-A-LAGO – The Thing emerged at CPAC on Sunday past ready to let loose. Here is what we learned from his first big post-presidency speech:

1) He’s not letting go of the “big lie.” The Thing spent the first part of his speech blasting Biden — which is what his advisers were hoping for. Just when they might have breathed a sigh of relief, The Thing went on a tear about the 2020 election being “rigged” and claimed he won — the very falsehood that led his followers to storm the Capitol on Jan. 6.

The irony of this quote is mind-blowing: “We can never let this or other abuses of the 2020 election be repeated or happen again,” The Thing said. “We need election integrity and election reform immediately. Republicans should be the party of honest elections.”

Republicans in Washington let out a collective groan. It puts them right back in the position of rebuking The Thing or looking spineless. Not to mention they think the stolen election claim hurts GOP turnout and is a big reason the party lost in Georgia.

2) SCOTUS: From greatest accomplishment to top target. Once upon a time, The Thing touted the filling of three Supreme Court vacancies as perhaps his greatest accomplishment. On Sunday, he attacked the conservative court as “cowards” for refusing his bid to overturn the election results.

“They should be ashamed of themselves,” he said. “They didn’t have the guts or the courage to make the right decision.” (Someone check Senate Minority Leader MITCH MCCONNELL’S blood pressure.)

3) The Thing wants revenge. His advisers got him to clarify that he does not want to start a third party. He called such reports “fake news” and claimed the GOP was united. But The Thing also couldn’t resist naming each Republican who voted to impeach him, including several who are already facing primary challenges. “Get rid of ’em all!” The Thing said.

This is problematic for House Minority Leader KEVIN MCCARTHY: He’s going to have to choose between his own incumbents and the ex-president, who’s great for grassroots fundraising.

The Thing did go easy on McConnell. The crowd booed when The Thing mentioned the Senate GOP leader, but Trump moved on quickly.

4) The Thing wants Republicans to donate — to him only. “There’s only one way to contribute to our efforts to elect America First Republican conservatives and … to make America great again,” he told the crowd, “and that’s through Save America PAC and TheThing.com. … We need your help to win.”

The line was notable because, as NYT’s Maggie Haberman pointed out on Twitter, he seemed to imply Republicans shouldn’t give to other entities like, for example, the RNC.

5) Transgender rights are the right’s new culture war. While many CPAC attendees privately said The Thing’s speech was ho-hum, with his standard-fare mentions of windmills and socialism, the former president did stir the crowd with anti-transgender rhetoric, particularly about women’s sports. As WaPo’s Dave Weigel noted on Twitter, The Thing curbed transgender rights with executive orders but didn’t often talk about the issue at rallies. That changed Sunday, days after House Democrats passed the Equality Act.

6) Let the 2024 games begin. The Thing teased another run for president, offering a taste of potentially years of will-he-or-won’t-he speculation he’s all too happy to stoke. The other 2024 hopefuls will have to get used to it. “Who knows?” The Thing said of a potential sequel. Surprisingly, only 68% of CPAC attendees said in their straw poll that they want The Thing to run again, though 95% said they want his platform to remain the GOP’s.

 

A BIT OF THE IRISH – President Biden’s proclamation as March designated Irish-American Heritage Month references his own Irish ancestors: “the Blewitts from County Mayo and the Finnegans of County Louth.”

“My grandparents AMBROSE FINNEGAN and GERALDINE BLEWITT met and married in Scranton, Pennsylvania, and passed on to my mother, CATHERINE EUGENIA FINNEGAN BIDEN, a pride and a passion that runs through the bloodstream of all Irish-Americans,” he wrote.

 

COLLEGE CHRONICLES - The American Arbitration Association ruled this week that the Ithaca College Administration unjustly disciplined Tom Schneller, a contingent professor in music and a leader of the IC Contingent Faculty Union (SEIU Local 200United), for engaging in legal, protected union activity.

At issue was an open letter to tenured faculty titled “Solidarity in a Time of Crisis: A Plea from Your Contingent Colleagues” that was written and signed by the union leadership and posted by Schneller to an electronic bulletin board for the IC community on May 6. The

statement described the “harrowing anxiety” of contingent professors facing imminent layoffs “about being able to pay rent, heat their apartments and feed their kids come fall when they are unemployed and potentially ineligible for unemployment insurance.”

According to the union, the message was intended to foster a sense of community among faculty and encourage voluntary mutual aid.

In response, the Ithaca College administration accused Schneller, as the individual posting the statement on behalf of the union, of violating the no-strike clause in the collective bargaining agreement and threatened him with potential future discipline “up to and including termination,” union officials said. The administration also sent two messages to the chair and vice-chair of the union demanding a public retraction by the union of the open letter.

To protest, the union filed a grievance, which was denied by Provost La Jerne Terry Cornish. In consequence, the union took the matter to arbitration with the American Arbitration Association, which this week ruled in favor of the union.

The arbitrator found that the college failed to prove that the union violated the collective bargaining agreement, that there was no conduct on the part of Schneller that would warrant a disciplinary warning, and that the discipline was therefore “without just cause.” Ithaca College has been ordered to expunge the disciplinary warning from Schneller’s personnel file.

 

BIRTHDAYS THIS WEEKEND – Birthday wishes and thoughts this weekend to Bryan Cranston (65), Peter Jacobsen (67), Allison Krich …famous Jayhawk fan, Alan Greenspan (95), Catherine O’Hara (67), Shaquille O’Neal (49).

 

WEEKEND RINK RATS QUIZ - The Grammys are approaching — which former president is a three-time Grammy winner?

John Kennedy

Theodore Roosevelt

Jimmy Carter

Barack Obama

(Answer is at the end of the blog.)

 

ZOOM FATIGUE - The constant stream of eyeball-straining, headache-inducing, don’t-get-caught-yawning Zoom calls are having a tangible effect on our brains, according to a new study from Stanford researchers.

The study, which is the first peer-reviewed article to look at the psychological consequences of spending so much time on video calls, highlights how stressful it is to stare at our co-workers on such a frequent basis.

“When someone’s face is that close to ours in real life, our brains interpret it as an intense situation that is either going to lead to mating or to conflict,” according to a news release from Stanford.

Yes, you read that correctly.

Investors are maybe feeling some Zoom fatigue, too. Shares of the company are down around 16% in the last 10 days after exploding 443% in 2020. Zoom reports Q4 earnings this week.

 

PICKLEBALL - Pickleball has emerged as the fastest-growing sport in America, with more than 3.5 million players across the country.

Birthed in the 1960s, the game combines elements of ping-pong, badminton, and tennis. It’s become a trendy way to get exercise as people seek alternatives to closed gyms.

From 2016-2019, pickleball’s participation rate increased by 9.7%, with people 65 and older accounting for one-fifth of all players. Numbers from 2020 are not yet released.

Pickleball has gained enough momentum to attract endorsers and broadcasting contracts.

Last year, the Professional Pickleball Association announced an agreement with ESPN, which will see the network air all of the league’s 2021 tournaments. 

In 2018, racquet maker Selkirk Sport signed Tyson McGuffin, the world’s top-ranked pickleball player, to an endorsement deal. Terms were not disclosed.

The accessibility of pickleball has made it attractive to a broad swath of the public.

“Pickleball still has that backyard, beer-drinking sports feel,” said McGuffin. “Coming from playing college tennis and pro tennis, it is so much more enjoyable.”

The final match of the World Pickleball Championship aired on CBS Sports on Sunday February 7. It was the first pickleball tournament with $100,000 in cash prizes and generated an estimated $1 million for the local Punta Gorda, Fla. economy.

 

 

OUT AND ABOUT – Another Zoom-A-Thon this past week of Scotty Graham’s “Hockey Old Bastards” group. After the wine was poured, Dave Yoshida (Dryden, Ontario) (St. Lawrence ’73) was the surprise guest. “Yosh” our former RA (Resident Assistant, Sykes 2nd Floor) brought us up to date regarding famous “St. Lawrence Legends of Hockey”: Tim Pelyk, Mike Shannon, Al MacCormack (he still has not picked up a dinner check), Gary “Nic” Webb, and Mike Kennan. All are doing well. Yosh lives in Florida most of the year, he is still hiding the money from the government for his clients on their tax returns. These “Hockey Old Bastards” Zoom sessions are so much fun, they certainly keep us young in spirit.

 

ON THIS DATE - 146 years ago today (March 3, 1875), the first organized indoor ice hockey game took place at the Victoria Skating Rink in Montreal.

Prior to moving indoors, ice hockey was a casual outdoor game played on frozen ponds, with no set dimensions or number of players per side.

The Victoria Skating Rink was snug, so teams were limited to nine players each.

The hockey "ball" was replaced by a square, wooden disk (puck), which was easier to control and safer for players and spectators.

The "father of ice hockey": The game was organized by Montreal resident and future McGill University law student James Creighton.

In 1877, Creighton published the rules of the game, known as the Montreal Rules.

That same year, he became the captain of the first organized ice hockey team, the McGill University Hockey Club.

Hockey, traditionally played on grass with a stick and a ball, traces its roots all the way back to ancient Greece, Egypt and Persia. It remains popular in this form, now called field hockey.

Here is a picture of the Ithaca Stars back in the 70’s, 1970’s that is….

 


 

SWAMI’S WEEKEND TOP PICKS

NBA Pick of the Week – Thursday 3/4, 7:00 PM (EDT), NESN:  Toronto Raptors (17-17) vs. Boston Celtics (18-17). As the NBA heads into the All-Star break two hot and cold teams meet. Celtics win this one 98 – 95. (Season to date 2-6)

NHL Pick of the Week – Saturday 3/6, 6:00 PM (PDT), FSWEST:  St. Louis Blues (12-8-2) vs. Los Angeles Kings (9-7-4). Kings are beginning to look like a playoff club, Dustin Brown (Ithaca, N.Y.) is at the top of his game. Kings win 4 – 3.   (Season to date 5-1)

NCAA College Hockey Pick of the Week – Friday 3/5, 7:00 PM (CDT), ESPN+: #7 Michigan Wolverines (13-8-1) vs. #3 Minnesota Golden Gophers (14-5-0). A huge Big Ten (14) conference game, Big Blue pulls an upset at 3M Arena 5 – 4.  (Season to Date 5-2)

Season to Date (16-10)

 

WEEKEND RINK RATS QUIZ ANSWER - JIMMY CARTER has won three Grammys — one for his autobiography “Faith: A Journey For All” in 2018; another for “A Full Life: Reflections at Ninety” in 2015; and another for “Our Endangered Values: America's Moral Crisis” in 2006.

 

Next Blog:  Dear Rink Rats, I miss movie theatres, nap time.

 

Until Monday March 15, 2021 Adios.

Claremont, California

March 4, 2021

#XI-28-434

 

3,485 words, six-minute read

 

CARTOON OF THE WEEKEND - Zoe Si

 


 

 

 

 

 

RINK RATS POLL – How many cups of coffee do you drink each day?

___ None

___ One

___ Two

___ Three

___ Three +

 

QUOTE OF THE MONTH: “The best teachers are also leaders, and the best leaders are also teachers.” - Professor Thomas DeLong

 

 

Rink Rats is a blog of weekly observations, predictions and commentary. We welcome your comments and questions. Also participate in our monthly poll. Rink Rats is now viewed in Europe, Canada, South America and the United States.

Posted at Rink Rats The Blog: First Published – May 3, 2010

Our Eleventh Year.

www.rhasserinkrats.blogspot.com

 

 

 

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