Friday, January 15, 2021

2021 We Begin

And you thought 2020 was a pain, guess what 2021 will even be more dramatic. So, let us look at some good and bad stories that will drive our lives this 2021 the Year of the Ox.

According to the Chinese zodiac, 2021 is the Year of the Ox. ... The years of the Ox in the Chinese Horoscope are: 1913, 1925, 1937, 1949, 1961, 1973, 1985, 1997, 2009, and 2021. This year is going to be lucky and also perfect to focus on relationships, whether we are talking about friendships or love.

OUT AND ABOUT – Let us start with something positive and fun. This past week we had the first 2021 meeting via Zoom of the Molson Chapter of St. Lawrence University Hockey Alumni. From Nova Scotia to California, the provinces and states in between it was a great start to 2021.

From left to right: Scott and Laurie Graham, Hass, Jeff Dillon, Murray Cawker, Paul and Carol Gallagher, Scott Morrison, Joe and Betty O’Rourke. We missed Ken Brousseau who is under the weather, Brousser we miss you and wish you all the best and good health.



The Zoom photo does make this group look like we are visiting Harry Aikens on his planet, but I assure everyone is well and looking good. It has been forty-eight years since these boys’ first met. After five minutes of zooming, it was like we just finished a practice in old Appleton Arena with Bernie and Wilkie giving us hell. Absolutely no one has changed, and the camaraderie is as strong as ever.

An effort will be made in the coming months to have mystery guests included in these Molson Chapter meets. So, Peter Blair, Bill Reid, Hugh Lappe, Peter Hewitt, Tom McGuire, Jacques Martin, Al Karnas, to name just a few of many of our fellow alumni – stay tuned for an invite.

I am truly blessed to have these friends in my life after all these years.

COVID-19 UPDATE - The official global death toll from the coronavirus pandemic surpassed 2 million on Friday, according to Johns Hopkins University. The tragic milestone came just over a year after the first Covid-19 death was reported in Wuhan, China.

While the 2 million figure is horrifying, experts say the real death toll is likely much higher. Only confirmed Covid-19 deaths are included in the tally, which means that people who die without a firm diagnosis may not be included.

Southern California's COVID outbreak is in a terrible place, and hospitals haven't even been hit with a wave of potential infections from Christmas and New Year's.

Hospitalizations have stabilized, but public health officials say that's just from infections linked to Thanksgiving.

More than 1/3 of the 10 million people in Los Angeles County are believed to have been infected with COVID.

Authorities are urging essential workers and people who run errands to wear masks when they're at home.

Officials hope the return of stay-at-home orders late last year will stem the tide.

Many mortuaries have had to turn away grieving families because they're at capacity, the owner of Los Angeles Funeral Service told ABC News.

The L.A. County coroner has been holding some bodies to free up mortuary capacity. Orange County brought in refrigerated trucks.

Between the lines: The advice of "stay home" doesn't work for essential workers and people who can't work from their couches.

"Los Angeles has small family housing with lots of people in them. It’s hard to be a gardener working from home," epidemiologist George Rutherford told NBC News.

Even a good-case scenario for Christmas and New Year's infections would leave hospitals in dire straits for the next month, said Christina Ghaly, the L.A. County director of health services.

Arizona Is America’s Covid-19 Hot Spot and on the Brink of Crisis, Arizona has the highest Covid-19 infection rate in the U.S. and is on the brink of running out of space in crowded hospitals, according to public-health and hospital officials. The state hit a record for new infections last week, with 11,324 in a single day. It has the highest per capita rate of new Covid-19 infections in the U.S., according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the highest rate of Covid-19 hospitalizations, according to the Covid tracking project.

The five hardest-hit states as of yesterday:

New Jersey — 227 people dead per 100K residents

Massachusetts — 196

Rhode Island — 188

South Dakota — 186

Connecticut — 182

 

COLLEGE CHRONICLES - Thursday, the Department of Education made $22.7B available from the COVID-19 stimulus package signed last month and more may be on the way. President-elect Biden unveiled a proposed $1.9T stimulus plan that includes another $35B for higher education. Of note from the summary: "The president-elect’s plan will ensure colleges have critical resources to implement public health protocols, execute distance learning plans, and provide emergency grants to students in need. This $35 billion in funding will be directed to public institutions, including community colleges, as well as public and private Historically Black Colleges and Universities and other minority-serving Institutions. ... [The proposal] will provide millions of students up to an additional $1,700 in financial assistance from their college.

 

WHAT TO WATCH THIS WEEKEND - "One Night in Miami...," a fictionalized account of an actual meeting among four, Black American icons in 1964, debuts today (Friday) on Prime Video.

Director: Regina King ("Watchmen," "If Beale Street Could Talk") makes her directorial debut.

Writer: Kemp Powers, who also wrote Pixar's "Soul," adapts his own award-winning, 2013 play of the same name.

Starring: Eli Goree (Cassius Clay), Leslie Odom Jr. (Sam Cooke), Aldis Hodge (Jim Brown), Kingsley Ben-Adir (Malcolm X).

The story: On Feb. 25, 1964, Cassius Clay — who'd recently converted to Islam and was just two weeks shy of changing his name to Muhammad Ali — defeated Sonny Liston by TKO in Miami, earning his first heavyweight title.

After the bout, Sam Cooke (singer) and Malcolm X, as well as NFL star Jim Brown, who provided commentary for the fight's radio broadcast, retired to Malcolm's hotel room for an evening of shared introspection.

The film takes us into that room, pulling back the curtain on a conversation whose exact words may never have been spoken, but whose ideas were, and remain, paramount to what it means to be Black in America.

Rink Rats rating 1 – 10 (10 being best) an 8+

·  Trailer (YouTube)

 

REPUBLICAN PARTY, NOW WHAT? - Republicans will emerge from the Trump era gutted financially, institutionally and structurally. The losses are stark and substantial:

They lost their congressional power.

Their two leaders, Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy, are hamstrung by corporate blacklisting of their election-denying members.

The GOP brand is radioactive for a huge chunk of America.

The corporate bans on giving to the 147 House and Senate Republicans who voted against election certification are growing and virtually certain to hold.

The RNC is a shell of its former self and run by a Trump loyalist.

Democrats crushed them in fundraising when they were out of power. Imagine their edge with it.

Sheldon Adelson, the party's biggest donor, died Monday.

The NRA is weaker than it has ever been, after massive leadership scandals.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, once controlled by rock-ribbed Republicans, also gave to Democrats in 2020.

Rank-and-file Republicans are now scattered on encrypted channels like Signal and fearful of Big Tech platforms.

The big picture: Conservatives hold power in the courts and state legislatures, two foundational pieces to rebuilding their party. But they likely will face a raging internal war over policies and political leaders as they grapple with a post-Trump world — whenever that might be.

 

BIRTHDAYS THIS WEEK – Birthday wishes and thoughts this week to Maureen Dowd (69), Julia Louis-Dreyfus (60), Faye Dunaway (80), Xochitl Martinez …famous finance administrator, Alison Rodriguez …. famous mentor to staff and students.

 

CES 2021 - The first fully virtual CES (Consumer Electronics Show) wrapped up yesterday, and attendees probably can’t wait to get back to Vegas for next year’s event—if only to confirm that Vegas still exists.

Some highlights:

Robots: A self-driving John Deere tractor (How about that Cat?). An automated machine for removing honeycomb from a beehive. A personal butler that will pour you wine and fold your laundry (Perfect for Scotty Graham). These were all new launches from robotics companies, which received a boost from the urgency to go “contactless” during the pandemic.

Wearables/health/wellness: Can better tech keep us healthy? If you’re bullish, then CES had plenty of gadgets for you. HealthyU, a remote health monitoring device from HD Medical, made headlines for its ability to handle seven different biometrics. Plus: “smart” masks, blood pressure sensors, and a vibrating headband that allegedly reduces stress.

Phones: The event wasn’t technically part of CES, but yesterday Samsung unveiled its new flagship Galaxy S21 line, which consists of three phones that start at $799. The S21 Ultra, at $1,199, aims to be the Voss water of smartphones.

 

MARKET WEEK -

Petco and Poshmark shares both popped on their first day of trading publicly.

Delta posted its first annual loss in 11 years due to the pandemic. It’s aiming to stop its cash burn ($12 million/day in Q4) in the spring.

Instacart, Trader Joe's, and Dollar General announced they’ll pay workers to get the Covid-19 vaccine.

Google closed its $2.1 billion acquisition of Fitbit.

WandaVision, the first Marvel series on Disney+, premieres today.

U.S.-based venture capital hit an all-time record in 2020, beating the prior high set back in the dot-com craze of 2000.

Interest rates will stay near zero for the foreseeable future, Fed chair Jerome Powell said.

Tesla Inc. has had a remarkable run and its future looks bright. The company has gone from delivering 41,507 luxury electric vehicles in 2015 to introducing the Model 3 in 2017 and delivering nearly 500,000 EVs in 2020.

Tesla’s TSLA stock shot up 743% in 2020 and it has gone up another 22% in the first days of 2021. The shares are worth 18 times their price at the end of 2015. So what’s not to love?

 

RINK RATS 2021 PORTFOLIO –

Here are our stock picks for 2021 each stock has a $1,000 investment (total $5,000) – we will track this throughout the year:

Apple

AAPL

NASDAQ

31-Dec-20

 $ 132.69   8 Shares

Intel

INTC

NASDAQ

31-Dec-20

 $   49.82  20 Shares

Vertex Pharmaceuticals

VRTX

NASDAQ

31-Dec-20

 $  236.34   4 Shares

Veeva Systems

VEEV

NYSE

31-Dec-20

 $  272.25   4 Shares

Clean Harbors

CLH

NYSE

31-Dec-20

 $    76.10   13 Shares

 

HOW HOT IS IT? - 2020 was the second-hottest year on record, trailing only 2016.

The last seven years have been the seven warmest on record. And the 10 warmest years have now occurred since 2005. 2020 rival’s hottest year on record, pushing Earth closer to a critical climate threshold. Escalating temperatures poise planet to breach 1.5 C for the first time, possibly later this decade.

 

SUMMER OLYMPICS - Less than 200 days from the Tokyo Olympics, Japan has declared a second state of emergency after another wave of COVID-19 cases.

Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga expects to lift the emergency order on February 7. Others, including Japan’s top virus advisor, are less optimistic about lifting the state of emergency by that date.

The Tokyo Games were first delayed in March 2020. Olympic organizers say that if the events cannot happen in 2021, they will be canceled.

Even a scaled-down version of the Tokyo Games would likely require testing and quarantines for athletes and fans, as well as logistical changes to the events.

The bloated $15.4 billion budget for the games could continue to inflate. Multiple independent audits have projected costs amounting to double the current figure.

Costs specifically related to combating COVID-19 total close to $1 billion.

Top sponsors have already contributed over $3 billion to date, at least twice as much as any previous Olympics.

Due to the health concerns and rising cost — the majority of which is funded by taxpayers — anti-Olympics sentiment is growing among the Japanese public.

Despite the hurdles, Prime Minister Suga said he is “determined to hold the games” as he announced the latest restrictions. 

 

PANDEMIC SPORTS – NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman said he expects the league and its teams to lose more than $1 billion this year, but emphasized the importance of playing the shortened season — which drops the puck today.

“It would be cheaper for us to shut the doors and not play,” Bettman said. “We’re coming back to play this season because we think it’s important for the game.”

Game-day income makes up approximately 50% of the NHL’s revenue, but with just 56 games on the schedule and no fans in most arenas to start, the league is making plays for extra cash.

Teams can now add sponsors to their helmets, and the league has added existing partners Scotiabank, Honda, Discover and MassMutual as sponsors of its four re-aligned divisions.

The NHL isn’t alone in its revenue shortfalls:

After NBA revenue declined 10% last season, projections suggest losses of up to $3 billion this season.

NFL revenue could drop by as much as $4 billion this season.

MLS took a $1 billion revenue hit during the 2020 season.

MLB lost up to $3 billion during its truncated 2020 season.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs should conclude by July, paving the way for the start of a normal schedule in October — potentially with full arenas.

 

NFL PLAYOFFS FINANCE - The NFL announced that it will allow CBS, NBC and Fox to sell two additional minutes of commercials in games leading up to Super Bowl LV.

The additional airtime for commercials will not be included in the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl LV will be televised and streamed by CBS, which received $336 million in ad revenue when it televised the 2019 Super Bowl. CBS is looking for roughly $5.5 million per Super Bowl ad spot this year.

Last year, Fox set a record for selling 30-second Super Bowl spots at a price of $5.6 million.

Commercial spots typically run from $1 million in early playoff rounds to $2 million during conference championships, meaning the extra two minutes of ad time will account for millions in new revenue for the networks.

Broadcast networks, forced to shut down production amid nationwide closures, lost prime-time viewers and revenue as streaming viewership exploded. Growing interest from advertisers ultimately sparked the networks’ push for extra ad inventory.

 

NHL VEGAS FUTURES - The NHL regular season normally begins in October every year but due to the 2020 regular season delayed due to the global COVID-19 pandemic, the start of the 2021 regular season will be on January 13.

The league set to play a 56-game season and playoffs, but there are four temporary divisions for this season.

Part of the issues are the U.S.-Canada border, which has more of an effect on the NHL than other pro sports leagues because it has seven teams in Canada and 24 in the U.S. until Seattle is set to become the 32nd franchise for the 2021-22 season.

In the meantime, oddsmakers have posted futures on next year's winners to capture the Stanley Cup.

The Tampa Bay Lightning won the Stanley Cup this past season, but are not listed as the favorite to repeat as the Bolts are currently at 15/2 odds.

Currently the Colorado Avalanche are the favorites at 6/1 odds and the Vegas Golden Knights are at 9/1 odds to win the Cup next season.

 

2021 NHL CONTENDERS

Colorado Avalanche 6/1

Tampa Bay Lightning 15/2

Vegas Golden Knights 9/1

Toronto Maple Leafs 13/1

Boston Bruins 14/1

Detroit Red Wings 350/1 “Ouch”

 

TOP SPORT NETWORKS - Buoyed by its studio shows, college football games and NASCAR races, FS1 finished 2020 as the second most-watched cable sports network on a total-day basis.

ESPN remains king — by a wide margin — but this marks the first time FS1 has drawn more viewers than ESPN2, NBCSN and NFL Network in a calendar year.

Top 10:

ESPN (564,000 viewers)

FS1 (119,000)

NFL Network (113,000)

NBCSN (108,000)

ESPN2 (107,000)

Golf Channel (83,000)

MLB Network (40,000)

Tennis Channel (27,000)

NBA TV (26,000)

ESPNU (25,000)

 

SWAMI’S WEEKEND TOP PICKS –

NFL Football Pick of the Week – Sunday 1/17, 3:40 PM (PDT), Fox: Divisional Round, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-5) vs. New Orleans Saints (13-4). Perhaps the last time you see Brady vs. Brees. Tampa Bay in an upset 38 – 35. (Season to date 11-4)

English Premier League – Sunday 1/17, 8:30 AM (PDT), Peacock: Liverpool (9-6-2) vs. Manchester United (11-3-3). #1 Man U vs. #2 Liverpool in the best soccer league in the world. The Reds win this one, 3 – 2. (Season to Date 2-2)

NBA Pick of the Week – Sunday 1/17, 1:00 PM (EDT), NBA TV: New York Knicks (5-7) vs. Boston Celtics (7-3). We take the Shamrocks 96 – 88.  (Season to date 0-2)

NHL Pick of the Week – Saturday 1/16, 7:00 PM (EDT), YES: New York Islanders (1-0) at New York Rangers (0-1). The Rangers looked off in game 1, so Ranger Assistant Coach Jacques Martin (St. Lawrence ’75) will have the boys skating in this one. Rangers over the Islander 4 – 3.

NCAA College Hockey Pick of the Week – Sunday 1/17, 7:00 pm (EDT), ESPN+: #13 Clarkson University Golden Knights (7-5-1) at St. Lawrence University Skating Saints (2-1-2). Another classic in the Route 11 rivalry at Appleton. Note below an interested spectator in the crowd for this one. St. Lawrence in an upset 4 – 3.  (Season to Date 1-0)



Season to Date (1-2)

 

Next Blog: Word of the Month & Inauguration Week

 

Until Tuesday January 19, 2021 Adios.

Claremont, California

January 15, 2021

#XI-22-428

3,037 words, seven-minute read

 

CARTOON OF THE WEEK – The New Yorker, Kaamran Hafeez



RINK RATS NEW YEARS POLL – You prefer…..

_____ Google Meets

_____ Microsoft Teams

_____ Skype

_____ WebEx

_____ Zoom

_____ other

 

 

QUOTE OF THE MONTH: “What we learned in 2020? This country can’t efficiently deliver Food, Cash or Care to those who need it.” – Mark Cuban

 

Rink Rats is a blog of weekly observations, predictions and commentary. We welcome your comments and questions. Also participate in our monthly poll. Rink Rats is now viewed in Europe, Canada, South America and the United States.

Posted at Rink Rats The Blog: First Published – May 3, 2010

Our Eleventh Year.

www.rhasserinkrats.blogspot.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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